The Super Bowl expects to generate $1.1 billion in bets this year, including over $150 million in New York alone. It’s the most popular and most bet-on game in America, the NFL championship will certainly draw plenty of action in 2023. But the question remains: What kind of bet fits you best?
There are plenty of markets to choose from as the Philadelphia Eagles take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. Scrolling through any of the NY sports betting can certainly cause some consternation. And some folks may not want to simply bet on the outright winner or point spread.
So how do you decide? To answer a question with a question: What kind of 2023 Super Bowl viewer are you?
Super Bowl betting markets for an Eagles fan
What of the foundational tenets of betting on sports is not to mix a wager with fandom. But … c’mon. You think Eagles fans AREN’T going to get some money behind their Birds?
When it comes to New York Super Bowl betting, sportsbooks favor Philadelphia to take him the franchise’s second Lombardi Trophy five years after the Eagles grabbed their first. As the No. 1 seed out of the NFC, after putting together a franchise-record 14 wins during the regular season and with a fearsome defense, it is only natural for the casual bettors — including Eagles fans — to lean that direction.
Philadelphia has cruised these playoffs. The Eagles became the eighth team to win in the Divisional and Conference Championship rounds by at least 21 points. The last four teams to do so went on to win the Super Bowl. The Eagles’ defense, the Ferocity of Philly, racked up 70 sacks in the regular season (and another eight in the playoffs) to tie for the third-most ever in the history of the NFL and the league’s highest sack rate since 1989.
Finally, Super Bowl 57 marks the seventh time the league-leader in passing (Mahomes this time) will play for the title. None of the previous six lifted the Lombardi.
All of this is to say, this appears as the exception to the rule. Eagles fans can grab -125 odds on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook NY. And if they’re feeling particularly spirited can place additional bets on anytime touchdown scorers, including QB Jalen Hurts (-115), RB Miles Sanders (-105) and WR AJ Brown (+105).
What if you’re a supporter of the Chiefs?
It’s quite the era to be a Kansas City fan. After years of mediocrity (at best), the Chiefs have established themselves as the class of the AFC, now appearing in their third Super Bowl in four years.
That said, QB Patrick Mahomes finds himself in rare territory. For just the 10th time in the QB’s career, Kansas City heads into the week as an underdog, getting 1.5 points on Sunday. Then again, Mahomes has thrived in these circumstances. With a 6-3 record, Mahomes is tied for the best win percentage as an underdog in the Super Bowl Era.
What’s more, the Mahomes-led Chiefs have gone 7-1-1 against the spread for the best winning percentage in league history. (Fun fact, that lone loss came against the Buffalo Bills in Week 6.)
Obviously, Chiefs-supporting bettors could take Kansas City to win its second title in four years. One other market might draw interest, however. At Caesars Sportsbook NY, bettors can find +210 odds for Kansas City to score first and win the game, which the Chiefs have done in droves of late, going 12-0 this season when scoring first.
Not a fan of the Eagles? This is for you
The Eagles from the City of Brotherly Love does not garner much love in New York, particularly downstate, what with the NFC East rivalry with the New York Giants.
Naturally, there may be more of a desire to see Philadelphia fall short of Super Bowl victory. That alone could serve as victory. But winning money while doing it? Even better.
Over at FanDuel Sportsbook NY, bettors can parlay a Chiefs moneyline win with Hurts throwing for under 238.5 yards and rushing for less than 49.5 at +544 odds.
In a way, it adds up. Since spraining his throwing shoulder in Week 15, Hurts has averaged just 168 passing yards. He has a total of 275 in the playoffs, including 121 in the NFC championship. And because of that injury, Philly limited his rushing, leading to him averaging less than 29 yards per game.
Plus, pretty poetic to see Philadelphia lose to former coach Andy Reid after he and the Eagles continuously fell short of Super Bowl expectations, huh?
When you just want a Super Bowl bet to hit
As the most bet-on sporting event in the United States, it is commonplace for bettors to cast a relatively wide net of wagers on various props.
But maybe you just want one bet to hit. Good news: BetMGM Sportsbook NY has a Super Bowl betting market for you.
At -145 odds, New Yorkers can wager on the Super Bowl to feature more points in the second half than in the opening two quarters.
Consider the following: Over the last 24 league championships, more scoring has occurred after halftime 17 times. It makes sense: Offenses operate more deliberately as the game gets going, feeling out the defenses before becoming more aggressive in the second half, when defenses become worn down.
If that market doesn’t strike you, consider betting under 50.5 total points. While this postseason saw all five Wild Card games hit the over, each of the past seven playoff games went under. And with a dominant Eagles defense, a gimpy Mahomes, and each of the past three Super Bowls going under, that side seems appealing.
You don’t care who wins or loses, but you want to bet on something
At every Super Bowl watch party, different factions of guests exist: Die-hard fans, commercial lovers, there-for-the-fooders.
Another group, arguably the most common, consists of individuals who don’t care of the game’s outcome. Fortunately, there is a betting market for them, as well.
Head to DraftKings and find three that could all pay out on a single play, turning a simple $5 bet into $335:
- Any non-QB to have a passing touchdown (+2200)
- Touchdown reception by a QB (+3000)
- Reception by a QB (+1200)
While a longshot, such a play is not totally uncommon, particularly in recent history. Last year, for example, Cincinnati RB Joe Mixon recorded a passing touchdown in the big game, becoming the fifth non-QB to do so. Three of the past six Super Bowl games have featured at least a passing attempt by a non-QB (two last year).
Plus, let us not forget five years ago, when all three of the above markets hit: TE Trey Burton hitting QB Nick Foles for a touchdown to help lead the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory.